We analyzed over twenty factors (including age, weight, height, bmi, nationality, foreigners, newcomers, contract duration, contract expiration, rotation) in order to find out what correlates with winning in soccer. Results showed that only goals scored had a p value over .950. So, our interest focused on how the goals are scored. Have you ever wondered that? We performed notation analysis in a sample of Greek Super League goals for season 2011/2012 and present you the main findings:
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Goalpost zone:
Goalkeepers find it difficult to save a shot in their lower right corner (image, animation).
1: 7%
2: 6%
3: 13%
4: 7%
5: 7%
6: 10%
7: 21%
8: 13%
9: 16%
upper: 26%
middle: 37%
lower: 50%
left: 36%
center: 26%
right: 39%
Time zone:
The majority of goals are scored in the last minutes of the game.
0'-15': 13%
15'-30': 13%
30'-45': 21%
first half: 47%
45'-60': 10%
60'-75': 17%
75'-90': 26%
second half: 53%
Goal zone:
1: 3%
2: 10%
3: 0%
4: 0%
5: 13%
6: 46%
7: 29%
center: 13%
wings: 0%
box: 87%
Final pass zone:
Most assists come from the wings.
1: 11%
2: 18%
3: 24%
4: 18%
5: 15%
6: 8%
7: 6%
center: 29%
wings: 42%
box: 29%
Mistake zone:
Most mistakes that lead to a goal are inside the goal area.
1: 10%
2: 18%
3: 4%
4: 3%
5: 14%
6: 19%
7: 33%
center: 27%
wings: 7%
box: 66%
Goal criticality:
Not all goals are significant. Would you prefer players that just widen your lead or those scoring winners?
opening: 26%
widen lead: 23%
equalizer: 19%
lead: 7%
decrease: 11%
winner: 14%
Pre-final pass foot:
Most of the pre-final passes come from a right foot.
right: 69%
left: 28%
other (head): 3%
all: 51%
Final pass foot:
Assists are evenly distributed between the right and left foot.
right: 48%
left: 48%
other (head): 4%
all: 57%
Goal foot:
Most goals are scored with the right foot.
right: 50%
left: 26%
other (head/chest): 24%
Goal event:
Crosses are the most common way to score in Greek Super League.
technical action (1vs1/sprint/dribble/pivot): 11%
tactical play (through pass/give and go/triangle/overlap): 6%
counter attack: 11%
set pieces (penalty kick, corner kick, free kick): 11%
cross (low cross, far cross, lob): 36%
other (challenge, unstable save, after blocked shot): 9%
Goal action:
Most goals are scored by simply tapping the ball into the net.
header: 21%
instep/direct shot: 20%
tap-in: 32%
penalty kick: 7%
direct free kick: 4%
flair kick (back-heel/bicycle kick/lob): 8%
other (own goal/challenged ball/tackling): 8%
Mistake reason:
Most goals are scored because of a lost personal challenge. We watched with surprise, 10% of the goals to be scored because a defender fell into the ground.
Poor clearance: 14%
Defender fell/lost balance: 10%
Committed foul (push, tackle etc): 7%
Poor positioning: 19%
Poor defensive line: 14%
Lost personal opponent/poor marking/given space: 4%
Lost challenge/header: 25%
Poor pass: 7%
Mistake position:
The right and left full-backs are to blame for the most goal conceded.
Goalkeeper: 12%
Central defender: 21%
Right/left back: 36%
Defensive midfielder: 13%
All defense: 12%
Right/left winger/striker: 7%
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